DeepSeek

26 resolved · 25 open · 3/26 resolved YES

Open markets

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Open $2,808,206 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Open $2,619,934 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Open $2,470,545 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Open $2,469,530 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Open $1,569,056 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Open $1,345,136 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Open $1,344,152 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? Open $560,581 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? Open $407,656 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? Open $277,896 Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30? Open $15,472 Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30? Open $13,222 Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30? Open $10,766 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Open $10,592 Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Open $8,155 Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Open $7,828 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Open $7,556 Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30? Open $6,421 Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Open $6,171 Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Open $5,825 Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Open $5,149 Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Open $4,307 Will Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Open $4,092 Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30? Open $3,961

Resolved markets

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No · 0% $25,240,782 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No · 0% $12,050,070 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? No · 0% $11,637,680 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes · 100% $9,158,407 Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $8,697,440 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No · 0% $5,104,724 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? Yes · 100% $4,201,493 Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $4,063,680 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No · 0% $3,872,295 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No · 0% $3,715,854 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? Yes · 100% $3,314,818 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No · 0% $3,197,278 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $2,799,960 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $2,632,067 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $2,476,743 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $2,355,571 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? No · 0% $2,236,480 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $2,069,280 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? No · 0% $1,963,684 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? No · 0% $1,904,854 Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $1,870,945 Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $1,794,863 Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $1,728,389 Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31? No · 0% $1,640,870