Iran

162 resolved · 153 open · 55/162 resolved YES

Open markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Open $66,952,195 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Open $26,119,150 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Open $11,828,756 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Open $11,761,464 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Open $8,980,801 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $6,509,912 Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $5,215,108 Iran leadership change by December 31? Open $4,521,325 Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $3,694,989 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? Open $3,427,056 Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $3,360,621 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Open $3,299,767 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? Open $3,287,164 Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $3,157,756 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Open $2,767,440 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? Open $2,542,863 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Open $2,454,505 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Open $2,352,201 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $2,320,954 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? Open $2,311,199 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? Open $2,254,999 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Open $2,242,194 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Open $1,907,402 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Open $1,803,946

Resolved markets

US forces enter Iran by April 30? Yes · 100% $269,049,107 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $177,370,818 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes · 100% $173,696,184 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Yes · 100% $131,114,971 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? Yes · 100% $98,599,882 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Yes · 100% $89,652,867 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No · 0% $87,888,981 US forces enter Iran by March 31? No · 0% $73,927,762 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No · 0% $65,931,941 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? Yes · 100% $63,238,698 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? No · 0% $63,229,538 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? No · 0% $52,714,900 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? Yes · 100% $51,779,894 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? No · 0% $49,748,804 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes · 100% $49,036,514 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? Yes · 100% $48,720,376 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? No · 0% $44,375,995 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No · 0% $44,111,325 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? No · 0% $41,754,060 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No · 0% $38,330,965 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No · 0% $38,005,859 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No · 0% $34,564,222 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Yes · 100% $31,918,587