Iran

165 resolved · 137 open · 57/165 resolved YES

Open markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Open $40,241,051 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Open $21,524,296 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Open $13,736,045 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Open $11,592,556 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? Open $8,436,306 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Open $4,716,223 Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $3,647,823 Iran leadership change by December 31? Open $3,225,090 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $3,042,569 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? Open $2,520,402 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? Open $2,123,972 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $2,060,263 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Open $1,955,448 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Open $1,928,763 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Open $1,846,187 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? Open $1,715,296 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? Open $1,696,806 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? Open $1,606,609 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? Open $1,470,881 Iran full airspace closure by July 15? Open $1,348,865 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Open $1,289,034 Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $1,228,904 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Open $1,193,629 Israel closes its airspace by July 15? Open $1,172,382

Resolved markets

US forces enter Iran by April 30? Yes · 100% $269,049,107 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $177,370,818 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes · 100% $173,696,184 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Yes · 100% $131,114,971 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? Yes · 100% $98,599,882 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Yes · 100% $89,652,867 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No · 0% $87,888,981 US forces enter Iran by March 31? No · 0% $73,927,762 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No · 0% $65,931,941 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? Yes · 100% $63,238,698 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? No · 0% $63,229,538 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? No · 0% $52,714,900 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? Yes · 100% $51,779,894 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? No · 0% $49,748,804 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes · 100% $49,036,514 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? Yes · 100% $48,720,376 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? No · 0% $44,375,995 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No · 0% $44,111,325 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? No · 0% $41,754,060 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No · 0% $38,330,965 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No · 0% $38,005,859 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No · 0% $34,564,222 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Yes · 100% $31,918,587