Iran

265 resolved · 260 open · 73/265 resolved YES

Open markets

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Open $42,316,172 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Open $36,990,381 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Open $30,740,565 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Open $26,026,490 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Open $19,778,622 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Open $18,283,126 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Open $15,540,252 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Open $11,825,502 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Open $8,822,089 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? Open $8,086,788 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Open $7,978,217 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? Open $6,554,341 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Open $4,731,124 Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Open $4,436,208 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? Open $3,977,430 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Open $3,334,797 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Open $3,122,383 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Open $3,104,573 Iran closes its airspace by May 24? Open $2,935,635 Iran leadership change by May 31? Open $2,505,951 Iran leadership change by December 31? Open $2,464,920 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $2,293,239 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Open $2,229,314 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? Open $2,103,737

Resolved markets

US forces enter Iran by April 30? Yes · 100% $269,049,107 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes · 100% $173,696,184 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Yes · 100% $131,114,971 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? Yes · 100% $98,599,882 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Yes · 100% $89,652,867 US forces enter Iran by March 31? No · 0% $73,927,762 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? Yes · 100% $63,238,698 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? No · 0% $63,229,538 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? No · 0% $52,714,900 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? Yes · 100% $51,779,894 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? No · 0% $49,748,804 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? Yes · 100% $48,720,376 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? No · 0% $44,375,995 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? No · 0% $41,754,060 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No · 0% $38,005,859 US military action against Iran before July? Yes · 100% $29,917,021 Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? Yes · 100% $28,778,655 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? Yes · 100% $28,623,187 Israel military action against Iraq before November? Yes · 100% $27,780,154 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $26,051,735 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? Yes · 100% $25,495,051 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? No · 0% $25,087,849 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? Yes · 100% $24,621,548