Iran

154 resolved · 149 open · 55/154 resolved YES

Open markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Open $80,267,701 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Open $29,903,674 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Open $17,947,320 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Open $11,875,343 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $7,198,953 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Open $6,444,951 Iran leadership change by December 31? Open $6,276,539 Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $5,228,127 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Open $4,620,737 Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $3,724,699 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Open $3,526,579 Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $3,391,537 US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Open $3,222,576 Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $3,186,897 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Open $2,956,134 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Open $2,866,624 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Open $2,816,528 US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Open $2,781,635 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Open $2,694,337 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Open $2,675,907 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Open $2,654,757 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Open $2,344,448 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Open $2,245,051 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Open $2,206,719

Resolved markets

US forces enter Iran by April 30? Yes · 100% $269,049,107 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $177,370,818 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes · 100% $173,696,184 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Yes · 100% $131,114,971 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? Yes · 100% $98,599,882 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Yes · 100% $89,652,867 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No · 0% $87,888,981 US forces enter Iran by March 31? No · 0% $73,927,762 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No · 0% $65,931,941 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? Yes · 100% $63,238,698 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? No · 0% $63,229,538 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? No · 0% $52,714,900 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? Yes · 100% $51,779,894 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? No · 0% $49,748,804 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes · 100% $49,036,514 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? Yes · 100% $48,720,376 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? No · 0% $44,375,995 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No · 0% $44,111,325 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? No · 0% $41,754,060 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No · 0% $38,330,965 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No · 0% $38,005,859 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No · 0% $34,564,222 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Yes · 100% $31,918,587