U.S. x Iran

56 resolved · 50 open · 13/56 resolved YES

Open markets

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? Open $3,427,056 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Open $2,352,201 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Open $2,242,194 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Open $1,907,402 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Open $1,740,605 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? Open $1,549,186 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? Open $1,376,083 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Open $1,369,496 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? Open $1,203,240 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? Open $1,126,515 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? Open $825,059 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? Open $687,279 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? Open $638,616 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Open $561,869 US military draft authorized in 2026? Open $526,185 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? Open $409,133 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Open $365,734 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? Open $351,551 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? Open $337,972 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Open $333,471 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Open $324,504 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026? Open $312,093 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Open $300,330 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Open $262,275

Resolved markets

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $177,370,818 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No · 0% $87,888,981 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes · 100% $49,036,514 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No · 0% $38,330,965 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No · 0% $38,005,859 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No · 0% $34,564,222 Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? Yes · 100% $28,778,655 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $26,051,735 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? No · 0% $24,173,101 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? No · 0% $22,930,944 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No · 0% $20,542,829 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $20,219,694 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? No · 0% $19,099,092 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No · 0% $18,446,435 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No · 0% $17,940,559 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? No · 0% $17,372,089 Iran closes its airspace by May 24? No · 0% $15,430,021 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $14,411,915 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No · 0% $13,456,217 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? No · 0% $13,050,669 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $12,699,540 Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30? No · 0% $12,086,752 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? No · 0% $11,792,334