U.S. x Iran

52 resolved · 120 open · 7/52 resolved YES

Open markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Open $36,990,381 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Open $26,026,490 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Open $19,778,622 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Open $15,540,252 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Open $11,825,502 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Open $8,822,089 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Open $7,978,217 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? Open $6,554,341 Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Open $4,436,208 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? Open $3,977,430 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Open $3,334,797 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Open $3,104,573 Iran closes its airspace by May 24? Open $2,935,635 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? Open $2,103,737 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? Open $2,035,524 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Open $1,998,572 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Open $1,723,559 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? Open $1,717,463 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? Open $1,372,913 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Open $1,347,549 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Open $1,208,233 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Open $963,335 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Open $934,514 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Open $912,960

Resolved markets

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No · 0% $38,005,859 Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? Yes · 100% $28,778,655 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $26,051,735 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? No · 0% $24,173,101 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No · 0% $18,446,435 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No · 0% $17,940,559 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? No · 0% $13,050,669 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? No · 0% $9,488,906 Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No · 0% $7,426,875 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? No · 0% $5,811,147 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? No · 0% $5,665,699 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? No · 0% $5,536,436 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? Yes · 100% $5,356,054 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? No · 0% $5,173,902 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? No · 0% $5,134,069 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? No · 0% $4,913,838 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No · 0% $4,312,007 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? Yes · 100% $4,090,017 Iran closes its airspace by May 21? No · 0% $3,782,046 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? No · 0% $3,747,157 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? Yes · 100% $3,743,260 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? No · 0% $3,382,145 Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No · 0% $3,372,287