Iran Ceasefire

63 resolved · 42 open · 22/63 resolved YES

Open markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Open $11,828,756 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Open $2,767,440 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Open $2,352,201 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Open $2,242,194 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Open $1,740,605 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? Open $1,650,643 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? Open $1,549,186 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? Open $1,376,083 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? Open $1,126,515 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? Open $825,059 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? Open $687,279 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? Open $638,616 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Open $561,869 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? Open $409,133 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Open $365,734 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? Open $351,551 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? Open $337,972 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Open $333,471 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Open $324,504 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026? Open $312,093 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? Open $265,363 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? Open $257,431 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? Open $230,658 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026? Open $203,244

Resolved markets

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $177,370,818 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes · 100% $173,696,184 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? Yes · 100% $98,599,882 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No · 0% $87,888,981 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes · 100% $49,036,514 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? Yes · 100% $48,720,376 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? No · 0% $44,375,995 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Yes · 100% $31,918,587 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $26,051,735 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? Yes · 100% $24,621,548 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No · 0% $24,291,658 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? No · 0% $24,173,101 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? No · 0% $22,930,944 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? Yes · 100% $20,894,918 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No · 0% $20,542,829 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? No · 0% $19,099,092 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No · 0% $18,446,435 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? Yes · 100% $17,726,878 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? Yes · 100% $17,450,416 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? No · 0% $17,372,089 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $14,411,915 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? Yes · 100% $13,670,502 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No · 0% $13,456,217