Iran Ceasefire

64 resolved · 51 open · 23/64 resolved YES

Open markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Open $17,947,320 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Open $6,444,951 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Open $4,620,737 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Open $3,526,579 US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Open $3,222,576 US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Open $2,781,635 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Open $2,694,337 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Open $2,675,907 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Open $2,654,757 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Open $2,245,051 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Open $2,055,944 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Open $1,612,505 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Open $1,476,434 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Open $1,113,594 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Open $912,297 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Open $879,701 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Open $867,995 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Open $857,551 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? Open $701,724 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Open $688,975 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? Open $661,464 US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Open $641,350 Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? Open $493,325 Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Open $455,213

Resolved markets

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $177,370,818 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes · 100% $173,696,184 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? Yes · 100% $98,599,882 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No · 0% $87,888,981 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes · 100% $49,036,514 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? Yes · 100% $48,720,376 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? No · 0% $44,375,995 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Yes · 100% $31,918,587 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $26,051,735 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? Yes · 100% $24,621,548 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No · 0% $24,291,658 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? No · 0% $24,173,101 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? No · 0% $22,930,944 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? Yes · 100% $20,894,918 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No · 0% $20,542,829 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? No · 0% $19,099,092 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No · 0% $18,446,435 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? Yes · 100% $17,726,878 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? Yes · 100% $17,450,416 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? No · 0% $17,372,089 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $14,411,915 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? Yes · 100% $13,670,502 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No · 0% $13,456,217