Peace Deal

26 resolved · 46 open · 7/26 resolved YES

Open markets

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Open $6,444,951 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Open $4,620,737 US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Open $3,222,576 US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Open $2,781,635 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Open $2,654,757 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Open $2,245,051 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Open $937,634 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Open $867,995 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Open $775,561 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? Open $701,724 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Open $688,975 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? Open $661,464 US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Open $641,350 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 Open $534,983 Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Open $424,873 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Open $397,903 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Open $390,568 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Open $390,005 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Open $381,010 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? Open $369,811 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? Open $357,412 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Open $325,771 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Open $323,614 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22? Open $292,188

Resolved markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $177,370,818 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No · 0% $87,888,981 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes · 100% $49,036,514 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $26,051,735 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? No · 0% $24,173,101 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? No · 0% $22,930,944 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $20,219,694 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? No · 0% $19,099,092 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No · 0% $18,446,435 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $14,411,915 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $12,699,540 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? No · 0% $11,308,232 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes · 100% $8,917,606 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? No · 0% $8,715,170 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No · 0% $8,533,781 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? No · 0% $7,704,920 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes · 100% $6,999,918 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No · 0% $6,991,042 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? No · 0% $6,905,767 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? No · 0% $5,783,488 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? No · 0% $5,588,313 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? No · 0% $5,536,436 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No · 0% $5,504,903 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? No · 0% $5,238,959