Economic Policy
50 resolved · 55 open · 12/50 resolved YES
Open markets
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? US recession by end of 2026? Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Resolved markets
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?