Parent For Derivative

84 resolved · 11 open · 13/84 resolved YES

Open markets

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Open $62,946,093 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Open $33,211,225 Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? Open $5,577,191 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? Open $4,842,585 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? Open $3,613,499 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Open $3,557,728 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Open $2,976,330 Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? Open $1,850,114 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Open $1,304,962 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Open $1,153,422 Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? Open $961,827

Resolved markets

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? No · 0% $172,972,057 US government shutdown Saturday? Yes · 100% $157,296,576 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $127,684,065 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Yes · 100% $89,652,867 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? No · 0% $87,103,284 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? Yes · 100% $63,238,698 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Yes · 100% $59,907,151 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? No · 0% $49,748,804 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? No · 0% $41,754,060 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $38,740,980 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $36,122,906 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $35,603,625 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $29,229,522 Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $27,875,357 Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $26,000,157 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? No · 0% $25,087,849 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? No · 0% $24,724,503 Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $24,537,485 Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $23,577,646 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $22,847,635 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $22,213,247 Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $21,325,692 Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $21,154,894 Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $20,907,361