Kevin Warsh
8 resolved · 62 open · 2/8 resolved YES
Open markets
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Resolved markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?