Politics markets

778 resolved · 996 open

Open markets

Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Open $83,455,500 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Open $66,952,195 Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Open $55,934,677 Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Open $54,779,384 Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $54,418,142 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $52,745,860 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $50,519,212 Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $48,732,831 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Open $44,724,525 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $44,487,761 Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Open $44,420,706 Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $44,028,238 Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $43,984,952 Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Open $43,710,206 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $43,479,093 Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $43,451,157 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $42,919,391 Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $42,812,616 Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $42,428,361 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Open $42,296,112 Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Open $41,579,340 Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $41,006,436 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Open $40,269,573 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open $38,944,527

Recently resolved

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes · 100% $1,531,479,285 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $1,037,039,118 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Yes · 100% $400,409,527 US forces enter Iran by April 30? Yes · 100% $269,049,107 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $241,655,100 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? No · 0% $235,065,167 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? No · 0% $216,455,743 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $177,370,818 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes · 100% $173,696,184 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? No · 0% $172,972,057 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? No · 0% $163,779,787 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? No · 0% $161,574,382 US government shutdown Saturday? Yes · 100% $157,296,576 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $153,382,276 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Yes · 100% $143,254,859 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $141,605,111 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $141,250,713 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting? No · 0% $133,955,589 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? No · 0% $133,173,605 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Yes · 100% $131,114,971 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $127,684,065 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? Yes · 100% $119,932,621 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? Yes · 100% $119,653,358