Tech markets

18 resolved · 65 open

Open markets

Human moon landing in 2026? Open $1,971,269 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Open $994,536 GTA 6 launch postponed again? Open $804,664 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Open $779,300 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Open $662,426 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Open $646,911 FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Open $586,469 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? Open $450,635 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Open $387,893 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? Open $382,320 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? Open $333,627 Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Open $322,598 5kt meteor strike in 2026? Open $314,099 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Open $307,163 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Open $260,353 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Open $206,700 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Open $184,173 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Open $179,457 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Open $179,449 Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Open $161,675 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Open $157,295 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Open $139,721 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? Open $133,826 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? Open $125,237

Recently resolved

Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes · 100% $13,950,282 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? Yes · 100% $12,177,341 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? No · 0% $11,890,598 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No · 0% $10,483,734 TikTok sale announced in 2025? Yes · 100% $9,671,895 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025? Yes · 100% $9,333,885 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? Yes · 100% $9,190,061 Will Doom: The Dark Ages win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? No · 0% $8,018,334 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No · 0% $7,533,509 Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? No · 0% $7,527,608 Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? No · 0% $7,300,706 Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No · 0% $7,248,123 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? Yes · 100% $6,604,478 Will Metroid Prime 4: Beyond win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? No · 0% $5,635,442 OpenAI browser by October 31? Yes · 100% $5,507,335 Will Ghost of Yotei win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? No · 0% $5,434,606 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No · 0% $5,143,391 Will Elden Ring: Nightreign win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? No · 0% $4,890,768