Trump

216 resolved · 181 open · 69/216 resolved YES

Open markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Open $40,241,051 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Open $34,653,784 Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $32,452,433 Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $25,625,388 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Open $21,524,296 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Open $10,392,393 Trump out as President before 2027? Open $9,815,675 Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $8,990,732 Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $5,489,353 Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $4,072,567 Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $2,799,592 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? Open $2,779,149 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Open $2,498,510 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Open $2,404,661 Will Alberta join the US? Open $2,187,280 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $2,070,602 Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $2,045,907 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Open $1,996,312 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Open $1,955,448 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Open $1,846,187 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $1,709,413 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? Open $1,696,806 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Open $1,579,750 Cuban regime falls in 2026? Open $1,459,644

Resolved markets

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes · 100% $1,531,479,285 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $1,037,039,118 US forces enter Iran by April 30? Yes · 100% $269,049,107 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $241,655,100 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes · 100% $177,370,818 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes · 100% $173,696,184 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? No · 0% $163,779,787 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $153,382,276 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $141,605,111 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $141,250,713 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $127,684,065 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? Yes · 100% $119,932,621 Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $116,558,196 Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $107,529,158 Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $93,307,168 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? Yes · 100% $90,915,984 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No · 0% $87,888,981 Will Trump launch a coin before the election? Yes · 100% $76,899,061 US forces enter Iran by March 31? No · 0% $73,927,762 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $72,176,112 Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? No · 0% $70,237,133 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Yes · 100% $59,907,151 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? No · 0% $56,491,984