Trump

380 resolved · 736 open · 115/380 resolved YES

Open markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Open $36,990,381 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Open $33,210,542 Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $32,045,924 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Open $30,740,565 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? Open $27,571,770 Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $25,096,377 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Open $18,283,126 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Open $15,540,252 Trump kiss by May 31? Open $14,913,369 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Open $11,825,502 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? Open $11,790,784 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Open $10,036,766 Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? Open $9,638,279 Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $8,615,639 Trump out as President before 2027? Open $8,571,909 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? Open $6,554,341 Trump out as President by June 30? Open $5,475,144 Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $5,179,659 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? Open $3,977,430 Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Open $3,605,155 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Open $3,334,797 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Open $3,104,573 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? Open $2,763,967 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Open $2,396,430

Resolved markets

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes · 100% $1,531,479,285 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $1,037,039,118 US forces enter Iran by April 30? Yes · 100% $269,049,107 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $241,655,100 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No · 0% $203,621,392 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes · 100% $173,696,184 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? No · 0% $163,779,787 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $153,382,276 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $141,605,111 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? Yes · 100% $141,250,713 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? No · 0% $127,684,065 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? Yes · 100% $119,932,621 Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $116,558,196 Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $107,529,158 Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $93,307,168 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? Yes · 100% $90,915,984 Will Trump launch a coin before the election? Yes · 100% $76,899,061 US forces enter Iran by March 31? No · 0% $73,927,762 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $72,176,112 Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? No · 0% $70,237,133 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Yes · 100% $59,907,151 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? No · 0% $56,491,984 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No · 0% $54,161,276 Will New Hampshire be the closest state? No · 0% $50,856,971