Congress

26 resolved · 90 open · 15/26 resolved YES

Open markets

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Open $1,304,962 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Open $1,153,422 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Open $735,124 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Open $545,897 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Open $417,041 Will Trump be impeached by June 30? Open $380,826 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Open $196,549 Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22? Open $175,860 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Open $173,116 H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? Open $166,023 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Open $130,459 Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Open $114,462 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Open $105,816 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Open $99,551 Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Open $70,808 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Open $68,845 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? Open $63,370 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Open $62,975 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? Open $50,607 Blue wave in 2026? Open $46,728 Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31? Open $44,819 FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires? Open $41,621 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Open $41,432 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Open $39,253

Resolved markets

US government shutdown Saturday? Yes · 100% $157,296,576 Will Austin Scott be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? No · 0% $67,258,994 Will Jack Bergman be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? No · 0% $58,633,496 Will Elise Stefanik be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? No · 0% $54,151,184 Will there be a US Government shutdown? Yes · 100% $53,500,374 Government shutdown on Saturday? No · 0% $13,550,398 US government shutdown by October 1? Yes · 100% $13,491,652 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? No · 0% $11,773,856 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? No · 0% $9,839,429 U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? Yes · 100% $9,824,902 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? Yes · 100% $8,422,644 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? No · 0% $5,673,890 Will the Government shutdown end by November 15? Yes · 100% $4,194,775 Will the Government shutdown end by November 30? Yes · 100% $4,131,241 US government shutdown in 2025? Yes · 100% $3,512,315 Will Trump be impeached in 2025? No · 0% $3,258,006 Will the Government shutdown end October 15+? Yes · 100% $2,797,439 Will Donald Trump be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? No · 0% $2,724,300 Will the Government shutdown end by December 31? Yes · 100% $2,429,313 House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025? Yes · 100% $2,246,913 Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? Yes · 100% $2,152,332 Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? Yes · 100% $2,104,865 U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31? Yes · 100% $1,840,951 Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday? Yes · 100% $1,663,429