China

17 resolved · 38 open · 5/17 resolved YES

Open markets

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Open $46,434,436 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Open $3,770,376 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Open $3,556,604 China x Japan military clash before 2027? Open $1,474,309 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Open $1,133,013 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Open $609,710 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Open $601,461 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? Open $479,984 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Open $250,127 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Open $237,926 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Open $234,193 US x China Military clash before 2027? Open $226,257 China coup attempt before 2027? Open $169,044 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Open $143,276 Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Open $141,767 Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? Open $129,794 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Open $128,656 Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Open $125,795 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Open $120,048 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? Open $117,717 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? Open $114,330 Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? Open $109,052 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? Open $107,672 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? Open $103,517

Resolved markets

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? Yes · 100% $119,653,358 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No · 0% $38,005,859 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No · 0% $34,564,222 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? No · 0% $28,337,791 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No · 0% $17,940,559 Will Trump visit China by May 15? Yes · 100% $15,068,494 Will Trump visit China by April 30? No · 0% $12,827,468 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? No · 0% $12,364,378 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? No · 0% $12,129,905 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No · 0% $12,006,094 Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? Yes · 100% $11,020,745 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? No · 0% $10,607,442 Will Trump visit China by March 31? No · 0% $10,369,639 Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? No · 0% $9,968,465 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? Yes · 100% $9,134,078 Will Trump visit China by May 31? Yes · 100% $7,626,224 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? No · 0% $5,672,418